Market Pulse57Neutral

Flutter Entertainment plcOpportunity Rank #124(FLUT) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Current Price

$108.47

Last updated: Jul 15, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$108.47
Price
$185.34
Intrinsic Value
Undervalued by 71%MOS: $148.27

Fundamental Score

45/100
Bearish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

52/100
Weak

-1 vs previous

Trend Score

42/100
Weak

As of 2026-07-14

The intrinsic value of Flutter Entertainment plc (FLUT) is estimated at $185.34 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $108.47, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 7.83% long-term growth rate and a 9.00% discount rate (calculated: 7.77%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Flutter Entertainment plc (FLUT) is estimated at $185.34 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $108.47, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 7.83% long-term growth rate and a 9.00% discount rate (calculated: 7.77%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$185.34
▲ 70.87% upside
20% margin of safety: $148.27
Years: 10Growth Rate: 7.83%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
-0.11%
Cost of Capital (estimated)10%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

45/100
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
70.9% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
10.2% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC -0.1% vs WACC 10.0% (0.0x)
0
Net Debt / FCF
4.5x net debt to FCF
0
Buybacks
Share count flat
50
FCF CAGR (5Y)
3.2% 5Y FCF CAGR
25
Strengths: DCF Discount, FCF Yield. Concerns: ROIC vs WACC, Net Debt / FCF.

Narrative Details

52/100
Weak
-1 vs previousVs 6-Month Baseline:Average (60th pct)Weighted across 4 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 89%Updated: 14h ago
Sources: 45 (30 News · 15 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
24 news sentiment+0.1
6 regulatory scrutiny+0.1
Analyst downgrades-0.0
14 analyst reiterations0.0

Trend Details

42/100
WeakAs of 2026-07-14309 daily bars used
Distance from 52-Week High-64.9%
6M Relative Strength vs SPY-57.9%
3M Relative Strength vs SPY-6.6%
Price vs 21 EMA62 · +2.0%
Price vs 50 EMA61 · +2.2%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA52 · +0.3%
3M RS vs SPY25 · -6.6%
6M RS vs SPY0 · -57.9%
Distance from 52W High0 · -64.9%

Investment Coach

Updating... 33d ago
WATCHConfidence: 48%
Thesis
Flutter Entertainment plc is significantly undervalued with an estimated fair value 132% above its current price and a healthy free cash flow yield of 9.8%. However, returns are currently trailing the estimated cost of capital, indicating operational challenges despite improving narrative trends.
Key Risk
The company's return on invested capital remains well below its weighted average cost of capital, posing a risk to sustained value creation.
Signals To Watch
  • Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
  • Track ROIC vs WACC spread for sustained improvement.
  • Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 7.83%5 Year CAGR: 16.16%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM2025202420232022202120202019
$1,928$1,289$2,263$1,539$1,592$912$1,650$721

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Flutter Entertainment plc's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Flutter Entertainment plcConsumer Cyclical

Flutter Entertainment plc operates as a sports betting and gaming company in the United States, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Australia, Italy, and internationally. It provides sportsbooks; iGaming products, such as blackjack, roulette, slot machines, poker, and rummy, as well as lottery products; and sports betting products, which include Betfair betting exchanges, daily fantasy sports, and horse racing wagering under the TVG brand. The company offers sports betting and gaming services through fanduel.com, tvg.com, betfair.com, paddypower.com, and paddypower.ie, sportsbet.com.au, pokerstars.com, betfair.com, sisal.it, maxbet.rs, and adjarabet.com websites under the FanDuel, Sky Betting & Gaming, Sportsbet, PokerStars, Paddy Power, Sisal, tombola, Betfair, TVG, Adjarabet, and MaxBet brands, as well as live poker tours and events. It also provides business-to-business pricing and risk management services. The company was formerly known as Paddy Power Betfair plc and changed its name to Flutter Entertainment plc in 2019. Flutter Entertainment plc was incorporated in 1958 and is headquartered in New York, New York.