EMCOR Group, Inc.Opportunity Rank #201(EME) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)
Current Price
$868.88
Last updated: Jun 23, 2026
Price vs Intrinsic Value
Fundamental Score
Weighted across 6 signals
Narrative Score
+1 vs previous
Trend Score
As of 2026-06-22
The intrinsic value of EMCOR Group, Inc. (EME) is estimated at $538.14 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $868.88, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 5.93% long-term growth rate and a 9.38% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.
The intrinsic value of EMCOR Group, Inc. (EME) is estimated at $538.14 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $868.88, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 5.93% long-term growth rate and a 9.38% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.Valuation Details
Capital Efficiency
The company is earning a higher return on invested capital than it costs to raise that capital — a sign of strong, efficient value creation.
Fundamental Details
Narrative Details
Trend Details
Investment Coach
- Price moving to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value.
- ROIC remaining above the cost of capital over the coming quarters.
- Narrative trend showing meaningful shifts in score direction.
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value
Intrinziq estimates EMCOR Group, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.
EMCOR Group, Inc.Industrials
EMCOR Group, Inc. specializes in delivering comprehensive electrical and mechanical construction services, alongside integrated facilities management solutions, primarily serving clients across the United States and the United Kingdom. The company's construction expertise spans the entire project lifecycle, encompassing initial design and integration through installation, commissioning, operation, and ongoing maintenance. This includes vital electrical infrastructure such as power transmission, distribution, and generation systems, advanced energy efficiency solutions, and premise-specific electrical and lighting systems. They also implement sophisticated process instrumentation for critical industries like refining, chemical processing, and food production, in addition to low-voltage networks covering fire alarms, security, process controls, and voice/data communications. Furthermore, EMCOR handles public infrastructure projects involving roadway and transit lighting, signaling, and fiber optic lines. On the mechanical front, EMCOR offers advanced HVAC, refrigeration, and geothermal climate control systems, specialized clean-room process ventilation, and essential fire protection and suppression systems. Their capabilities extend to plumbing, process, and high-purity piping, various controls and filtration systems, water and wastewater treatment, and central plant heating and cooling. The firm also undertakes heavy industrial tasks such as crane and rigging, millwright services, and steel fabrication, erection, and welding. Beyond construction, EMCOR provides extensive integrated facilities management and operational support. This encompasses day-to-day operations and maintenance for commercial and government sites, critical outage services for utilities and industrial plants, military base support, and mobile mechanical maintenance. Supplementary services include indoor air quality management, janitorial and landscaping duties, vendor coordination, call center operations, building systems installation and support, program management for energy systems, technical consulting, and the execution of infrastructure, building, and retrofit projects. The company also delivers specialized industrial services tailored for the oil, gas, and petrochemical sectors. EMCOR Group, Inc. was established in 1987 and maintains its headquarters in Norwalk, Connecticut.