EAT

$160.64

Public overview and default valuation.

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Valuation Details
Default assumptions: 10Y forecast, 9% market return, 2.5% terminal growth, -0.60% trendline growth.
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$210.14

With 20% Margin of Safety (MoS):

$168.11
4.65% upside
Capital Efficiency
Average Quarterly ROIC
17%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusCreating Value

The company is earning a higher return on invested capital than it costs to raise that capital — a sign of strong, efficient value creation.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.
Fundamental Score
80
BullishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
4.7% discount to price
58
FCF Yield
14.4% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 17.0% vs WACC 11.0% (1.5x)
77
Net Debt / FCF
0.3x net debt to FCF
93
Buybacks
Share count flat
50
FCF CAGR (5Y)
23.5% 5Y FCF CAGR
100
Strengths lead the score: FCF Yield, ROIC vs WACC.
Narrative Score
81
Strong
Weighted across 6 recent drivers · Last 30 daysVs 6-Month Baseline: High (91th pct)
Trend: Improving upConfidence: 100%Updated: 3h ago
Sources: 88 (News 68 · Analyst 20)
Drivers
56 news sentiment+2.4
10 regulatory scrutiny+0.8
Earnings beat+0.2
4 analyst upgrades+0.1
Upgrade headlines+0.0
16 analyst reiterations0.0
Other Metrics
P/E15.8
Profit Margin8.0%
Owner Earnings$942.30m
One Dollar Premise0.00%
Debt/Equity6.92
Current Ratio0.32
PEG7.899
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
20062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
$830$916$632$363$397$330$429$422$521$509$507$415$386$380$350$464$403$441$621$1,004
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Brinker International, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Brinker International, Inc.Consumer Cyclical

Brinker International, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the ownership, development, operation, and franchising of casual dining restaurants in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Chili's and Maggiano's. As of June 30, 2021, it owned, operated, or franchised 1,648 restaurants comprising 1,594 restaurants under the Chili's Grill & Bar name and 54 restaurants under the Maggiano's Little Italy brand name. The company was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.

Last updated: Feb 06, 2026
Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep
This valuation is based on assumptions and publicly available data. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.