Market Pulse59Neutral

The Walt Disney CompanyOpportunity Rank #34(DIS) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Current Price

$108.72

Last updated: May 08, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$108.72
Price
$204.22
Intrinsic Value
Undervalued by 88%MOS: $163.38

Fundamental Score

71/100
Bullish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

80/100
Strong

No change vs previous

Trend Score

52/100
Neutral

As of 2026-05-08

The intrinsic value of The Walt Disney Company (DIS) is estimated at $204.22 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $108.72, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 3.67% long-term growth rate and an 8.92% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of The Walt Disney Company (DIS) is estimated at $204.22 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $108.72, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 3.67% long-term growth rate and an 8.92% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$204.22
87.84% upside
20% margin of safety: $163.38
Years: 10Growth Rate: 3.67%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
2.48%
Cost of Capital (estimated)8%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

71/100
BullishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
87.8% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
12.7% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 2.5% vs WACC 8.0% (0.3x)
16
Net Debt / FCF
1.7x net debt to FCF
39
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
16.0% 5Y FCF CAGR
100
Strengths: DCF Discount, FCF Yield. Concerns: ROIC vs WACC, Net Debt / FCF.

Narrative Details

80/100
Strong
Vs 6-Month Baseline:High (90th pct)Weighted across 6 recent drivers
Trend: Improving upConfidence: 100%Updated: 15h ago
Sources: 209 (200 News · 9 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
141 news sentiment+5.3
26 regulatory scrutiny+3.5
5 earnings beat+1.2
Macro headwinds-0.5
6 upgrade headlines+0.3
19 layoffs-0.1

Trend Details

52/100
NeutralAs of 2026-05-08311 daily bars used
6M Relative Strength vs SPY-11.9%
3M Relative Strength vs SPY-7.4%
Price vs 21 EMA+4.4%
Price vs 21 EMA75 · +4.4%
Price vs 50 EMA73 · +5.0%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA54 · +0.5%
3M RS vs SPY22 · -7.4%
6M RS vs SPY21 · -11.9%
Distance from 52W High74 · -12.9%

Investment Coach

Updating... 1d ago
BUYConfidence: 69%
Thesis
The Walt Disney Company is significantly undervalued with an estimated fair value 85% above its current price, supported by strong fundamentals and a robust narrative score. Despite trailing returns relative to its cost of capital, Disney's free cash flow yield and growth metrics indicate bullish potential.
Key Risk
The key risk is the negative spread between Disney's return on invested capital and its weighted average cost of capital, which may pressure future profitability.
Signals To Watch
  • Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
  • Track ROIC vs WACC spread for sustained improvement.
  • Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 3.67%5 Year CAGR: 21.76%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
$24,474$26,125$19,383$14,835$10,953$9,145$11,640$11,482$18,760$15,966$17,986$15,174$13,091$12,248$11,750$10,553$8,688$7,072$7,032$6,987$7,357

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates The Walt Disney Company's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

The Walt Disney CompanyCommunication Services

The Walt Disney Company, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an entertainment company worldwide. It operates through two segments, Disney Media and Entertainment Distribution; and Disney Parks, Experiences and Products. The company engages in the film and episodic television content production and distribution activities, as well as operates television broadcast networks under the ABC, Disney, ESPN, Freeform, FX, Fox, National Geographic, and Star brands; and studios that produces motion pictures under the Walt Disney Pictures, Twentieth Century Studios, Marvel, Lucasfilm, Pixar, and Searchlight Pictures banners. It also offers direct-to-consumer streaming services through Disney+, Disney+ Hotstar, ESPN+, Hulu, and Star+; sale/licensing of film and television content to third-party television and subscription video-on-demand services; theatrical, home entertainment, and music distribution services; staging and licensing of live entertainment events; and post-production services by Industrial Light & Magic and Skywalker Sound. In addition, the company operates theme parks and resorts, such as Walt Disney World Resort in Florida; Disneyland Resort in California; Disneyland Paris; Hong Kong Disneyland Resort; and Shanghai Disney Resort; Disney Cruise Line, Disney Vacation Club, National Geographic Expeditions, and Adventures by Disney as well as Aulani, a Disney resort and spa in Hawaii; licenses its intellectual property to a third party for the operations of the Tokyo Disney Resort; and provides consumer products, which include licensing of trade names, characters, visual, literary, and other IP for use on merchandise, published materials, and games. Further, it sells branded merchandise through retail, online, and wholesale businesses; and develops and publishes books, comic books, and magazines. The Walt Disney Company was founded in 1923 and is based in Burbank, California.