DE

$565.73

Public overview and default valuation.

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Valuation Details
Default assumptions: 10Y forecast, 9% market return, 2.5% terminal growth, 5.31% trendline growth.
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$767.80

With 20% Margin of Safety (MoS):

$614.24
8.57% upside
Capital Efficiency
Average Quarterly ROIC
2.34%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.
Fundamental Score
44
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
8.6% discount to price
64
FCF Yield
7.6% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 2.3% vs WACC 11.0% (0.2x)
11
Net Debt / FCF
4.6x net debt to FCF
0
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
2.9% 5Y FCF CAGR
25
Strengths: FCF Yield, Buybacks. Concerns: ROIC vs WACC, Net Debt / FCF.
Narrative Score
65
Improving
Weighted across 3 recent drivers · Last 30 daysVs 6-Month Baseline: High (97th pct)
Trend: Improving upConfidence: 100%Updated: 3h ago
Sources: 102 (News 96 · Analyst 6)
Drivers
65 news sentiment+1.1
31 regulatory scrutiny+0.4
6 analyst reiterations0.0
Other Metrics
P/E30.4
Profit Margin11.3%
Owner Earnings$11.48b
One Dollar Premise35.00%
Debt/Equity3.32
Current Ratio2.25
PEG-9.261
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
20062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
$1,739$4,244$3,557$3,293$3,595$4,007$3,289$5,630$6,185$6,566$6,719$4,792$4,770$6,861$10,139$10,306$8,487$13,057$14,033$11,687
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Deere & Company's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Deere & CompanyIndustrials

Deere & Company manufactures and distributes various equipment worldwide. The company operates through four segments: Production and Precision Agriculture, Small Agriculture and Turf, Construction and Forestry, and Financial Services. The Production and Precision Agriculture segment provides mid-size tractors, combines, cotton pickers and strippers, sugarcane harvesters, harvesting front-end equipment, sugarcane loaders, pull-behind scrapers, and tillage and seeding equipment, as well as application equipment, including sprayers and nutrient management, and soil preparation machinery for grain growers. The Small Agriculture and Turf segment offers utility tractors, and related loaders and attachments; turf and utility equipment, including riding lawn equipment, commercial mowing equipment, golf course equipment, and utility vehicles, as well as implements for mowing, tilling, snow and debris handling, aerating, residential, commercial, golf, and sports turf care applications; other outdoor power products; and hay and forage equipment. This segment also resells products from other manufacturers. It serves dairy and livestock producers, crop producers, and turf and utility customers. The Construction and Forestry segment provides a range of backhoe loaders, crawler dozers and loaders, four-wheel-drive loaders, excavators, motor graders, articulated dump trucks, landscape and skid-steer loaders, milling machines, pavers, compactors, rollers, crushers, screens, asphalt plants, log skidders, log feller bunchers, log loaders and forwarders, log harvesters, and attachments; and roadbuilding equipment. The Financial Services segment finances sales and leases agriculture and turf, and construction and forestry equipment. It also offers wholesale financing to dealers of the foregoing equipment; and extended equipment warranties, as well as finances retail revolving charge accounts. Deere & Company was founded in 1837 and is headquartered in Moline, Illinois.

Last updated: Feb 06, 2026
Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep
This valuation is based on assumptions and publicly available data. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.