Market Pulse50Neutral

Dominion Energy, Inc.Opportunity Rank #143(D) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Utilities

Current Price

$59.83

Last updated: Mar 24, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$59.83
Price
$325.74
Intrinsic Value
Undervalued by 444%MOS: $260.59

Fundamental Score

60/100
Neutral

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

55/100
Improving

No change vs previous

The intrinsic value of Dominion Energy, Inc. (D) is estimated at $325.74 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $59.83, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 4.08% long-term growth rate and an 8.50% discount rate (calculated: 6.11%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Dominion Energy, Inc. (D) is estimated at $325.74 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $59.83, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 4.08% long-term growth rate and an 8.50% discount rate (calculated: 6.11%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$325.74
444.44% upside
20% margin of safety: $260.59
Years: 10Growth Rate: 4.08%
Want to create your own valuation? Create a free account.

Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
1.56%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

60/100
NeutralWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
444.4% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
34.2% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 1.6% vs WACC 11.0% (0.1x)
7
Net Debt / FCF
2.7x net debt to FCF
9
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
9.3% 5Y FCF CAGR
71
Strengths: DCF Discount, FCF Yield. Concerns: ROIC vs WACC, Net Debt / FCF.

Narrative Details

55/100
Improving
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Low (7th pct)Weighted across 5 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 85%Updated: 2h ago
Sources: 47 (43 News · 4 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
8 regulatory scrutiny+0.3
33 news sentiment+0.2
Margin pressure+0.0
Earnings beat+0.0
4 analyst reiterations0.0

Investment Coach

Updated 11h ago
BUYConfidence: 54%
Thesis
Dominion Energy, Inc. is significantly undervalued with an estimated fair value 449% above its current price, supported by strong free cash flow yield and constructive fundamentals. Despite trailing returns relative to its cost of capital, the company's healthy free cash flow and active buybacks present a compelling investment opportunity.
Key Risk
The key risk is the company's return on invested capital remaining below its weighted average cost of capital, which could undermine value creation.
Signals To Watch
  • Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
  • Track ROIC vs WACC spread for sustained improvement.
  • Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 4.08%5 Year CAGR: 12.26%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
$18,002$18,002$17,445$16,807$11,458$10,098$11,558$10,525$9,178$10,411$10,252$10,468$8,990$7,537$8,282$6,635$5,247$7,623$6,213$3,726$8,057

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Dominion Energy, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Dominion Energy, Inc.Utilities

Dominion Energy, Inc. produces and distributes energy in the United States. The company operates through four segments: Dominion Energy Virginia, Gas Distribution, Dominion Energy South Carolina, and Contracted Assets. The Dominion Energy Virginia segment generates, transmits, and distributes regulated electricity to approximately 2.7 million residential, commercial, industrial, and governmental customers in Virginia and North Carolina. The Gas Distribution segment is involved in the regulated natural gas sales, transportation, gathering, storage, and distribution operations in Ohio, West Virginia, North Carolina, Utah, southwestern Wyoming, and southeastern Idaho that serve approximately 3.1 million residential, commercial and industrial customers. It also has nonregulated renewable natural gas facilities in operation. The Dominion Energy South Carolina segment generates, transmits, and distributes electricity to approximately 772,000 customers in the central, southern, and southwestern portions of South Carolina; and distributes natural gas to approximately 419,000 residential, commercial, and industrial customers in South Carolina. The Contracted Assets segment is involved in the nonregulated long-term contracted renewable electric generation and solar generation facility development operations; and gas transportation, LNG import, and storage operations, as well as in the liquefaction facility. As of December 31, 2021, the company's portfolio of assets included approximately 30.2 gigawatt of electric generating capacity; 10,700 miles of electric transmission lines; 78,000 miles of electric distribution lines; and 95,700 miles of gas distribution mains and related service facilities. The company was formerly known as Dominion Resources, Inc. Dominion Energy, Inc. was incorporated in 1983 and is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.