Costco Wholesale CorporationOpportunity Rank #137(COST) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)
Current Price
$1,012.06
Last updated: May 08, 2026
Price vs Intrinsic Value
Fundamental Score
Weighted across 6 signals
Narrative Score
No change vs previous
Trend Score
As of 2026-05-08
The intrinsic value of Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) is estimated at $958.78 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $1,012.06, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 5.61% long-term growth rate and an 8.63% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.
The intrinsic value of Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) is estimated at $958.78 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $1,012.06, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 5.61% long-term growth rate and an 8.63% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.Valuation Details
Capital Efficiency
The company is earning a higher return on invested capital than it costs to raise that capital — a sign of strong, efficient value creation.
Fundamental Details
Narrative Details
Trend Details
Investment Coach
- Price moves to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value
- ROIC remains above cost of capital over coming quarters
- Narrative trend shows meaningful shifts in score direction
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value
Intrinziq estimates Costco Wholesale Corporation's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.
Costco Wholesale CorporationConsumer Defensive
Costco Wholesale Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the operation of membership warehouses in the United States, Puerto Rico, Canada, the United Kingdom, Mexico, Japan, Korea, Australia, Spain, France, Iceland, China, and Taiwan. It offers branded and private-label products in a range of merchandise categories. The company offers sundries, dry groceries, candies, coolers, freezers, liquor, and tobacco and deli products; appliances, electronics, health and beauty aids, hardware, garden and patio products, sporting goods, tires, toys and seasonal products, office supplies, automotive care products, postages, tickets, apparel, small appliances, furniture, domestics, housewares, special order kiosks, and jewelry; and meat, produce, service deli, and bakery products. It also operates pharmacies, opticals, food courts, hearing-aid centers, and tire installation centers, as well as 636 gas stations; and offers business delivery, travel, same-day grocery, and various other services online in various countries. As of August 29, 2021, the company operated 815 membership warehouses, including 564 in the United States and Puerto Rico, 105 in Canada, 39 in Mexico, 30 in Japan, 29 in the United Kingdom, 16 in South Korea, 14 in Taiwan, 12 in Australia, 3 in Spain, 1 in Iceland, 1 in France, and 1 in China. It also operates e-commerce websites in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Mexico, South Korea, Taiwan, Japan, and Australia. The company was formerly known as Costco Companies, Inc. and changed its name to Costco Wholesale Corporation in August 1999. Costco Wholesale Corporation was founded in 1976 and is based in Issaquah, Washington.