CME Group Inc.Opportunity Rank #221(CME) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)
Current Price
$240.27
Last updated: Jul 13, 2026
Price vs Intrinsic Value
Fundamental Score
Weighted across 6 signals
Narrative Score
No change vs previous
Trend Score
As of 2026-07-10
The intrinsic value of CME Group Inc. (CME) is estimated at $237.82 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $240.27, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 4.97% long-term growth rate and an 8.50% discount rate (calculated: 7.64%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.
The intrinsic value of CME Group Inc. (CME) is estimated at $237.82 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $240.27, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 4.97% long-term growth rate and an 8.50% discount rate (calculated: 7.64%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.Valuation Details
Capital Efficiency
The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.
Fundamental Details
Narrative Details
Trend Details
Investment Coach
- Price moving to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value.
- Sustained improvement in ROIC versus WACC spread.
- Meaningful shifts in the narrative trend or score direction.
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value
Intrinziq estimates CME Group Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.
CME Group Inc.Financial Services
CME Group Inc., through its various subsidiaries, manages international marketplaces for the exchange of futures and options on futures contracts worldwide. Its extensive array of product offerings includes futures and options linked to a broad spectrum of underlying assets, such as interest rates, equity indices, foreign exchange, agricultural commodities, energy, and metals, alongside fixed-income products. The company additionally furnishes essential clearinghouse services, which entail the verification, settlement, and guarantee of futures, options, and cleared swap agreements traded across its venues. It also offers services for transaction processing and risk mitigation. Furthermore, the organization provides diverse market data services, encompassing both real-time and historical data feeds. Its wide-ranging client base consists of professional traders, financial institutions, both institutional and individual investors, corporations, manufacturers, producers, governments, and central banks. Founded in Chicago, Illinois, in 1898, the enterprise was formerly known as Chicago Mercantile Exchange Holdings Inc. before rebranding as CME Group Inc. in July 2007.