Market Pulse59Neutral

Celestica Inc.Opportunity Rank #186(CLS) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Technology

Current Price

$385.21

Last updated: May 08, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$385.21
Price
$155.69
Intrinsic Value
Overvalued by 60%MOS: $124.55

Fundamental Score

54/100
Neutral

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

81/100
Strong

No change vs previous

Trend Score

72/100
Strong

As of 2026-05-08

The intrinsic value of Celestica Inc. (CLS) is estimated at $155.69 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $385.21, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 4.35% long-term growth rate and a 10.51% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Celestica Inc. (CLS) is estimated at $155.69 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $385.21, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 4.35% long-term growth rate and a 10.51% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$155.69
▼ -59.58% downside
20% margin of safety: $124.55
Years: 10Growth Rate: 4.35%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
11.52%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusCreating Value

The company is earning a higher return on invested capital than it costs to raise that capital — a sign of strong, efficient value creation.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

54/100
NeutralWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
59.6% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
2.9% trailing FCF yield
22
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 11.5% vs WACC 11.0% (1.0x)
52
Net Debt / FCF
Net cash position
100
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
34.4% 5Y FCF CAGR
100
Strengths: Net Debt / FCF, Buybacks. Concerns: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.

Narrative Details

81/100
Strong
Vs 6-Month Baseline:High (94th pct)Weighted across 6 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 100%Updated: 15h ago
Sources: 109 (97 News · 12 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
67 news sentiment+3.3
20 regulatory scrutiny+0.7
6 upgrade headlines+0.2
Downgrade headlines-0.2
Analyst upgrades+0.1
2 earnings beat+0.1

Trend Details

72/100
StrongAs of 2026-05-08311 daily bars used
21 EMA vs 50 EMA+9.6%
3M Relative Strength vs SPY+15.3%
Price vs 50 EMA+7.5%
Price vs 21 EMA38 · -2.0%
Price vs 50 EMA81 · +7.5%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA96 · +9.6%
3M RS vs SPY93 · +15.3%
6M RS vs SPY43 · -2.4%
Distance from 52W High78 · -11.1%

Investment Coach

Updating... 1d ago
AVOIDConfidence: 50%
Thesis
Celestica Inc. is currently overvalued with its market price approximately 60.5% above the estimated fair value despite a strong narrative score and a solid balance sheet position. The company demonstrates a neutral fundamental score with positive free cash flow growth and a slight ROIC advantage over WACC.
Key Risk
The primary risk is that the stock price may not correct to a level closer to its fair value, limiting potential downside protection.
Signals To Watch
  • Watch for price moving to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value.
  • Track ROIC vs WACC spread for sustained improvement.
  • Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 4.35%5 Year CAGR: 35.69%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
$1,283$876$645$451$320$279$292$426$115$230$237$259$303$202$418$259$212$371$297$415$228

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Celestica Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Celestica Inc.Technology

Celestica Inc. provides hardware platform and supply chain solutions in North America, Europe, and Asia. It operates through two segments, Advanced Technology Solutions, and Connectivity & Cloud Solutions. The company offers a range of product manufacturing and related supply chain services, including design and development, engineering, supply chain management, new product introduction, component sourcing, electronics manufacturing and assembly, testing, complex mechanical assembly, systems integration, precision machining, order fulfillment, logistics, asset management, product licensing, and after-market repair and return services. It also provides enterprise-level data communications and information processing infrastructure products, such as routers, switches, data center interconnects, edge solutions, servers, and storage-related products; capacitors, microprocessors, resistors, and memory modules; and power inverters, energy storage products, smart meters, and other electronic componentry products. The company serves aerospace and defense, industrial, energy, healthtech, capital equipment, original equipment manufacturers, cloud-based, and other service providers, including hyperscalers, and other companies in a range of industries. Celestica Inc. was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.