Market Pulse53Neutral

Coeur Mining, Inc.Opportunity Rank #60(CDE) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Current Price

$15.24

Last updated: Jul 24, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$15.24
Price
$34.28
Intrinsic Value
Undervalued by 125%MOS: $27.42

Fundamental Score

78/100
Bullish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

70/100
Strong

No change vs previous

Trend Score

11/100
Weak

As of 2026-07-24

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The intrinsic value of Coeur Mining, Inc. (CDE) is estimated at $34.28 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $15.24, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 4.51% long-term growth rate and a 9.57% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Coeur Mining, Inc. (CDE) is estimated at $34.28 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $15.24, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 4.51% long-term growth rate and a 9.57% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$34.28
124.93% upside
20% margin of safety: $27.42
Years: 10Growth Rate: 4.51%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
5.17%
Cost of Capital (estimated)8%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

78/100
BullishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
124.9% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
8.9% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 5.2% vs WACC 8.0% (0.6x)
32
Net Debt / FCF
Net cash position
100
Buybacks
Share count flat
50
FCF CAGR (5Y)
41.5% 5Y FCF CAGR
100
Strengths: DCF Discount, FCF Yield. Concerns: ROIC vs WACC.

Narrative Details

70/100
Strong
Vs 6-Month Baseline:High (94th pct)Weighted across 4 recent drivers
Trend: Improving upConfidence: 78%Updated: 1d ago
Sources: 25 (23 News · 2 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
7 regulatory scrutiny+1.7
16 news sentiment+0.2
Analyst upgrades+0.0
Analyst reiterations0.0

Trend Details

11/100
WeakAs of 2026-07-24310 daily bars used
6M Relative Strength vs SPY-48.5%
3M Relative Strength vs SPY-24.1%
Distance from 52-Week High-44.3%
Price vs 21 EMA27 · -3.9%
Price vs 50 EMA12 · -9.5%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA12 · -5.8%
3M RS vs SPY2 · -24.1%
6M RS vs SPY0 · -48.5%
Distance from 52W High11 · -44.3%

Investment Coach

Updating... 45d ago
BUYConfidence: 65%
Thesis
Coeur Mining, Inc. is undervalued with a fair value estimate 110.8% above its current price, supported by a strong fundamental score of 78 and a healthy free cash flow yield of 13.4%. Despite trailing its cost of capital, the company shows robust cash flow growth and solid financial health.
Key Risk
The key risk is the negative spread between ROIC and WACC, indicating returns are currently below the company's cost of capital.
Signals To Watch
  • Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
  • Track ROIC vs WACC spread for sustained improvement.
  • Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 4.51%5 Year CAGR: 27.31%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
$1,405$1,108$357$432$378$420$248$192$158$345$227$209$117$214$387$536$322$284$358$257$239

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Coeur Mining, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Coeur Mining, Inc.Basic Materials

Coeur Mining, Inc. is a company primarily focused on the exploration and development of precious metal deposits across North America, with operations spanning the United States, Canada, and Mexico. The company's key activities involve discovering and extracting resources such as gold, silver, zinc, and lead. Coeur Mining maintains a 100% ownership stake in several significant mining assets. These include the Palmarejo gold and silver mine in Chihuahua, Northern Mexico, which encompasses approximately 67,296 net acres. In northwestern Nevada, the Rochester silver and gold mine covers about 43,441 net acres. The Kensington gold mine, situated north of Juneau, Alaska, spans 3,972 net acres. Additionally, the Wharf gold mine occupies roughly 3,243 net acres in the northern Black Hills of western South Dakota, and the Silvertip silver-zinc-lead mine in northern British Columbia, Canada, extends over 97,298 net acres. Beyond these fully-owned sites, Coeur Mining also holds interests in the Crown and Sterling projects located in southern Nevada, as well as the La Preciosa project in Mexico. The concentrates produced from its operations are then marketed and sold to various third-party customers and smelters through established off-take agreements. Historically, the company was known as Coeur d'Alene Mines Corporation before rebranding to Coeur Mining, Inc. in May 2013. Established in 1928, its corporate headquarters are located in Chicago, Illinois.