Carrier Global CorporationOpportunity Rank #270(CARR) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)
Current Price
$58.30
Last updated: Mar 24, 2026
Price vs Intrinsic Value
Fundamental Score
Weighted across 6 signals
Narrative Score
-1 vs previous
The intrinsic value of Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) is estimated at $32.07 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $58.30, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 0.56% long-term growth rate and a 9.00% discount rate (calculated: 8.49%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.
The intrinsic value of Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) is estimated at $32.07 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $58.30, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 0.56% long-term growth rate and a 9.00% discount rate (calculated: 8.49%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.Valuation Details
Capital Efficiency
The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.
Fundamental Details
Narrative Details
Investment Coach
- Price moves to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value
- Sustained improvement in ROIC versus WACC spread
- Meaningful shifts in narrative trend and score direction
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value
Intrinziq estimates Carrier Global Corporation's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.
Carrier Global CorporationIndustrials
Carrier Global Corporation provides heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC), refrigeration, fire, security, and building automation technologies worldwide. It operates through three segments: HVAC, Refrigeration, and Fire & Security. The HVAC segment provides products, controls, services, and solutions to meet the heating, cooling, and ventilation needs of residential and commercial customers. Its products include air conditioners, heating systems, controls, and aftermarket components, as well as aftermarket repair and maintenance services and building automation solutions. The Refrigeration segment offers transport refrigeration and monitoring products and services, as well as digital solutions for trucks, trailers, shipping containers, intermodal applications, food retail, and warehouse cooling; and commercial refrigeration solutions, such as refrigerated cabinets, freezers, systems, and controls. The Fire & Security segment provides various residential, commercial, and industrial technologies, including fire, flame, gas, smoke, and carbon monoxide detection; portable fire extinguishers; fire suppression systems; intruder alarms; access control systems; video management systems; and electronic controls. Its other fire and security service offerings comprise audit, design, installation, and system integration, as well as aftermarket maintenance and repair and monitoring services. The company offers its products under the Autronica, Det-Tronics, Edwards, Fireye, GST, Kidde, LenelS2, Marioff, Onity, and Supra; Carrier, Automated Logic, Bryant, CIAT, Day & Night, Heil, NORESCO, and Riello; and Carrier Commercial Refrigeration, Carrier Transicold, and Sensitech brands. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida.