Market Pulse50Neutral

Can-Fite BioPharma Ltd.Opportunity Rank #272(CANF) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Healthcare

Current Price

$3.24

Last updated: Mar 24, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$3.24
Price
-$2.51
Intrinsic Value
Overvalued by 177%MOS: -$2.01

Fundamental Score

46/100
Bearish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

52/100
Weak

No change vs previous

The intrinsic value of Can-Fite BioPharma Ltd. (CANF) is estimated at $-2.51 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $3.24, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -15.40% long-term growth rate and a 10.00% discount rate (calculated: 7.74%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Can-Fite BioPharma Ltd. (CANF) is estimated at $-2.51 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $3.24, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -15.40% long-term growth rate and a 10.00% discount rate (calculated: 7.74%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

-$2.51
-177.47% downside
20% margin of safety: -$2.01
Years: 10Growth Rate: -15.40%
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Fundamental Details

46/100
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
177.5% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
-479.1% trailing FCF yield
0
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC vs WACC unavailable
50
Net Debt / FCF
0.8x net debt to FCF
85
Buybacks
Share count flat
50
FCF CAGR (5Y)
28.3% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
100
Strengths: Net Debt / FCF, FCF CAGR (5Y). Concerns: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.

Narrative Details

52/100
Weak
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Average (53rd pct)Weighted across 1 driver
Trend: StableConfidence: 42%Updated: 1h ago
Sources: 7 (7 News)
Drivers(last 30 days)
7 news sentiment+0.2

Investment Coach

Updated 12h ago
AVOIDConfidence: 89%
Thesis
Can-Fite BioPharma Ltd. is significantly overvalued with an estimated fair value 157% below its current price, supported by weak fundamentals and negative free cash flow yield. The company's returns are trailing its cost of capital, indicating poor financial performance and limited upside potential.
Key Risk
The primary risk is continued deterioration in financial fundamentals and failure to generate positive returns above the cost of capital.
Signals To Watch
  • Price moves to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value
  • Improvement in ROIC versus WACC spread
  • Meaningful positive shifts in the narrative score direction
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Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR (Adjusted): -15.33%5 Year CAGR (Adjusted): 36.19%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM202420232022202120202019201820172016201520142013201220112010
-$8-$8-$8-$11-$10-$12-$11-$4-$10-$9-$5-$7-$9-$4-$5-$4

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Can-Fite BioPharma Ltd.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Can-Fite BioPharma Ltd.Healthcare

Can-Fite BioPharma Ltd., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, develops small molecule therapeutic products for the treatment of cancer, liver inflammatory diseases, and erectile dysfunction. The company's lead drug candidate Piclidenoson, which has been completed Phase III clinical trial for the treatment of psoriasis; and Phase II clinical trial for the treatment of COVID-19. It also develops Namodenoson that is in Phase III clinical trial for the treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma, as well as in Phase IIb trial for the treatment of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis; and CF602, which is in pre-clinical trial for the treatment of erectile dysfunction. In addition, the company develops commercial predictive biomarker blood test kit for A3AR. Can-Fite BioPharma Ltd. has license and collaboration agreement with CMS Medical to develop, manufacture, and commercialize Piclidenoson and Namodenoson; and collaboration agreement with Univo Pharmaceuticals to identify and co-develop specific formulations of cannabis components for the treatment of cancer, inflammatory, autoimmune, and metabolic diseases. The company was formerly known as Can-Fite Technologies Ltd. and changed its name to Can-Fite BioPharma Ltd. in January 2001. Can-Fite BioPharma Ltd. was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Petah Tikva, Israel.