Market Pulse50Neutral

Bolt Projects Holdings, Inc.Opportunity Rank #296(BSLK) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Current Price

$0.14

Last updated: Mar 24, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$0.14
Price
-$46.15
Intrinsic Value
Overvalued by 34059%MOS: -$36.92

Fundamental Score

13/100
Bearish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

50/100
Weak

No change vs previous

The intrinsic value of Bolt Projects Holdings, Inc. (BSLK) is estimated at $-46.15 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $0.14, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 14.44% long-term growth rate and an 11.76% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Bolt Projects Holdings, Inc. (BSLK) is estimated at $-46.15 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $0.14, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 14.44% long-term growth rate and an 11.76% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

-$46.15
▼ -34058.79% downside
20% margin of safety: -$36.92
Years: 10Growth Rate: 14.44%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
-422.1%
Cost of Capital (estimated)7%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

13/100
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
34058.8% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
-1894.5% trailing FCF yield
0
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC -422.1% vs WACC 7.0% (-60.3x)
0
Net Debt / FCF
Net cash position
100
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
0.0% 5Y FCF CAGR
0
Strengths: Net Debt / FCF. Concerns: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.

Narrative Details

50/100
Weak
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Average (50th pct)Weighted across 2 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 39%Updated: 1h ago
Sources: 2 (2 News)
Drivers(last 30 days)
News sentiment+0.0
Regulatory scrutiny+0.0

Investment Coach

Updated 12h ago
AVOIDConfidence: 85%
Thesis
Bolt Projects Holdings, Inc. is significantly overvalued with an estimated fair value drastically below its current price, supported by weak fundamentals and negative free cash flow yield. The company's returns are trailing its cost of capital, indicating poor financial performance and limited growth prospects.
Key Risk
The key risk is the continued deterioration of financial fundamentals, including a persistently negative ROIC versus WACC spread and worsening free cash flow metrics.
Signals To Watch
  • Price moving to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value
  • Sustained improvement in ROIC versus WACC spread
  • Meaningful shifts in the narrative trend or score direction
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR (Adjusted): 86.62%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM2024202320222021
-$5-$16-$28-$48-$24

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Bolt Projects Holdings, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Bolt Projects Holdings, Inc.Financial Services

Bolt Projects Holdings, Inc. operates as a material solutions company. The company offers B-SILK PROTEIN, a biodegradable ingredient for the beauty and personal care industry. Its products also include MYLO, a mycelium-based leather material; and MICROSILK, a silk fiber. The company is based in San Francisco, California.