TopBuild Corp.Opportunity Rank #73(BLD) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)
Current Price
$413.47
Last updated: Jun 23, 2026
Price vs Intrinsic Value
Fundamental Score
Weighted across 6 signals
Narrative Score
No change vs previous
Trend Score
As of 2026-06-22
The intrinsic value of TopBuild Corp. (BLD) is estimated at $561.56 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $413.47, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 10.83% long-term growth rate and a 10.08% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.
The intrinsic value of TopBuild Corp. (BLD) is estimated at $561.56 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $413.47, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 10.83% long-term growth rate and a 10.08% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.Valuation Details
Capital Efficiency
The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.
Fundamental Details
Narrative Details
Trend Details
Investment Coach
- Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
- Track ROIC vs WACC spread for sustained improvement.
- Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value
Intrinziq estimates TopBuild Corp.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.
TopBuild Corp.Industrials
TopBuild Corp., operating under the ticker BLD, specializes in both installing and distributing insulation alongside a diverse range of other construction materials for the building sector. The company primarily functions through two distinct divisions: Installation and Specialty Distribution. Its comprehensive product and service portfolio encompasses a wide array of offerings, such as insulation and its related accessories, glass and window units, rain gutters, afterpaint products, fireproofing solutions, garage doors, fireplaces, closet shelving, and roofing supplies, among others. Additionally, TopBuild provides expert insulation fitting services. Beyond material supply and installation, the firm offers a suite of specialized services and tools. These are designed to assist builders in integrating sound building science principles into new residential construction projects, including pre-construction plan assessments, diagnostic performance testing, various inspection types, and detailed home energy rating certifications. The Specialty Distribution segment further focuses on supplying a broad spectrum of building and mechanical insulation, related accessories, and diverse construction materials to residential, commercial, and industrial end-markets. TopBuild's extensive client base includes single-family and multi-family homebuilders, custom home constructors, commercial general contractors, renovation specialists, and individual homeowners. It also serves various specialized contractors (e.g., insulation, gutter, weatherization), general contractors, material dealers, metal building erectors, and modular home manufacturers. The company maintains a significant operational footprint, with approximately 235 installation branches and around 175 distribution centers spread across the United States and Canada. Established in 2015, TopBuild Corp. was previously known as Masco SpinCo Corp. before adopting its current name in March of that year. Its corporate headquarters are situated in Daytona Beach, Florida.