Market Pulse50Neutral

Bloom Energy CorporationOpportunity Rank #268(BE) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Industrials

Current Price

$141.33

Last updated: Mar 24, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$141.33
Price
$12.06
Intrinsic Value
Overvalued by 91%MOS: $9.65

Fundamental Score

31/100
Bearish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

60/100
Improving

+2 vs previous

The intrinsic value of Bloom Energy Corporation (BE) is estimated at $12.06 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $141.33, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes an 11.33% long-term growth rate and an 11.42% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Bloom Energy Corporation (BE) is estimated at $12.06 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $141.33, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes an 11.33% long-term growth rate and an 11.42% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$12.06
▼ -91.47% downside
20% margin of safety: $9.65
Years: 10Growth Rate: 11.33%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
-0.57%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

31/100
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
91.5% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
0.5% trailing FCF yield
0
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC -0.6% vs WACC 11.0% (-0.1x)
0
Net Debt / FCF
0.9x net debt to FCF
81
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
198.2% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
100
Strengths: Net Debt / FCF, FCF CAGR (5Y). Concerns: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.

Narrative Details

60/100
Improving
+2 vs previous · +1 new driversVs 6-Month Baseline:Low (17th pct)Weighted across 5 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 91%Updated: 1h ago
Sources: 106 (98 News · 8 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
76 news sentiment+0.8
18 regulatory scrutiny+0.2
3 earnings beat+0.0
Upgrade headlines+0.0
8 analyst reiterations0.0

Investment Coach

Updated 16h ago
AVOIDConfidence: 89%
Thesis
Bloom Energy Corporation is significantly overvalued with its current price approximately 91% above estimated fair value, supported by weak fundamentals and a negative return on invested capital relative to its cost of capital. The company's free cash flow yield is minimal, indicating limited financial flexibility and growth potential.
Key Risk
The primary risk is the continued deterioration of operational performance and valuation metrics, which could further depress the stock price and investor returns.
Signals To Watch
  • Price moves to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value.
  • Sustained improvement in ROIC versus WACC spread.
  • Meaningful positive shifts in the narrative score and trend.
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Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR (Adjusted): 154.23%5 Year CAGR (Adjusted): 184.36%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014
$174$171$151-$289-$75-$11-$61$215-$43-$31-$274-$303-$267

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Bloom Energy Corporation's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Bloom Energy CorporationIndustrials

Bloom Energy Corporation designs, manufactures, sells, and installs solid-oxide fuel cell systems for on-site power generation in the United States and internationally. The company offers Bloom Energy Server, a power generation platform that converts fuel, such as natural gas, biogas, hydrogen, or a blend of these fuels, into electricity through an electrochemical process without combustion. It serves data centers, hospitals, healthcare manufacturing facilities, biotechnology facilities, grocery stores, hardware stores, banks, telecom facilities and other critical infrastructure applications. The company was formerly known as Ion America Corp. and changed its name to Bloom Energy Corporation in September 2006. Bloom Energy Corporation was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.