Market Pulse59Neutral

Bank of America CorporationOpportunity Rank #78(BAC) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Current Price

$52.75

Last updated: May 08, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$52.75
Price
$28.86
Intrinsic Value
Overvalued by 45%MOS: $23.09

Fundamental Score

46/100
Bearish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

80/100
Strong

No change vs previous

Trend Score

39/100
Weak

As of 2026-05-08

The intrinsic value of Bank of America Corporation (BAC) is estimated at $28.86 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $52.75, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -5.96% long-term growth rate and a 12.00% discount rate (calculated: 14.88%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Bank of America Corporation (BAC) is estimated at $28.86 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $52.75, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -5.96% long-term growth rate and a 12.00% discount rate (calculated: 14.88%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$28.86
-45.29% downside
20% margin of safety: $23.09
Years: 10Growth Rate: -5.96%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
6.45%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

46/100
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
45.3% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
15.1% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 6.5% vs WACC 11.0% (0.6x)
29
Net Debt / FCF
2.4x net debt to FCF
19
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
8.3% 5Y FCF CAGR
66
Strengths: FCF Yield, Buybacks. Concerns: DCF Discount, ROIC vs WACC.

Narrative Details

80/100
Strong
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Above Avg (66th pct)Weighted across 6 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 100%Updated: 17h ago
Sources: 210 (200 News · 10 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
146 news sentiment+3.0
39 regulatory scrutiny+0.2
5 earnings beat+0.2
2 upgrade headlines+0.0
7 legal risk+0.0
Downgrade headlines+0.0

Trend Details

39/100
WeakAs of 2026-05-08311 daily bars used
3M Relative Strength vs SPY-16.0%
Distance from 52-Week High-10.4%
6M Relative Strength vs SPY-11.0%
Price vs 21 EMA37 · -2.1%
Price vs 50 EMA45 · -0.9%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA60 · +1.2%
3M RS vs SPY6 · -16.0%
6M RS vs SPY23 · -11.0%
Distance from 52W High79 · -10.4%

Investment Coach

Updating... 1d ago
AVOIDConfidence: 57%
Thesis
Bank of America Corporation is currently overvalued with its price trading 42.4% above the estimated fair value of $30.38, despite a healthy free cash flow yield of 15.1% and an improving narrative score. However, returns are trailing the estimated cost of capital, indicating potential challenges in generating sufficient economic profit.
Key Risk
The key risk is the sustained negative spread between ROIC (6.45%) and WACC (11%), which may continue to pressure shareholder returns and valuation.
Signals To Watch
  • Price moving to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value
  • Improvement in ROIC versus WACC spread
  • Meaningful shifts in the narrative score direction
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: -5.96%5 Year CAGR (Adjusted): 813.93%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
$56,567$12,613-$8,805$44,982-$6,327-$7,193$37,993$61,777$39,520$9,864$17,277$28,397$31,955$93,338-$16,056$65,797$83,581$131,971$6,132$13,179$15,257

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Bank of America Corporation's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Bank of America CorporationFinancial Services

Bank of America Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides banking and financial products and services for individual consumers, small and middle-market businesses, institutional investors, large corporations, and governments worldwide. Its Consumer Banking segment offers traditional and money market savings accounts, certificates of deposit and IRAs, noninterest-and interest-bearing checking accounts, and investment accounts and products; and credit and debit cards, residential mortgages, and home equity loans, as well as direct and indirect loans, such as automotive, recreational vehicle, and consumer personal loans. The company's Global Wealth & Investment Management segment offers investment management, brokerage, banking, and trust and retirement products and services; and wealth management solutions, as well as customized solutions, including specialty asset management services. Its Global Banking segment provides lending products and services, including commercial loans, leases, commitment facilities, trade finance, and commercial real estate and asset-based lending; treasury solutions, such as treasury management, foreign exchange, and short-term investing options and merchant services; working capital management solutions; and debt and equity underwriting and distribution, and merger-related and other advisory services. The company's Global Markets segment offers market-making, financing, securities clearing, settlement, and custody services, as well as risk management products using interest rate, equity, credit, currency and commodity derivatives, foreign exchange, fixed-income, and mortgage-related products. As of December 31, 2021, it served approximately 67 million consumer and small business clients with approximately 4,200 retail financial centers; approximately 16,000 ATMs; and digital banking platforms with approximately 41 million active users. The company was founded in 1784 and is based in Charlotte, North Carolina.