ASTS

$93.27

Public overview and default valuation.

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Valuation Details
Default assumptions: 10Y forecast, 9% market return, 2.5% terminal growth, 12.00% trendline growth.
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$26.76

With 20% Margin of Safety (MoS):

$21.41
▼ -77.05% downside
Capital Efficiency
Average Quarterly ROIC
-33.23%
Cost of Capital (estimated)9%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.
Fundamental Score
33
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
77.1% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
2.1% trailing FCF yield
3
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC -33.2% vs WACC 9.0% (-3.7x)
0
Net Debt / FCF
Net cash position
100
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
192.3% 5Y FCF CAGR
100
Strengths: Net Debt / FCF, FCF CAGR (5Y). Concerns: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.
Narrative Score
64
Improving
Weighted across 6 recent drivers · Last 30 days-1 vs previousVs 6-Month Baseline: Low (18th pct)
Trend: Deteriorating downConfidence: 97%Updated: 3h ago
Sources: 118 (News 114 · Analyst 4)
Drivers
91 news sentiment+1.1
18 regulatory scrutiny+0.4
3 downgrade headlines-0.1
Upgrade headlines+0.1
2 analyst downgrades-0.0
Legal risk-0.0
Other Metrics
P/E-83.7
Profit Margin-1639.6%
Owner Earnings$491.41m
One Dollar Premise0.00%
Debt/Equity0.80
Current Ratio9.09
PEG-2.435
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
2018201920202021202220232024
-$5$3$8-$25-$99-$30$586
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates AST SpaceMobile, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.Technology

AST SpaceMobile, Inc. operates space-based cellular broadband network for mobile phones. Its SpaceMobile service provides mobile broadband services for users traveling in and out of areas without terrestrial mobile services on land, at sea, or in flight. The company is headquartered in Midland, Texas.

Last updated: Feb 06, 2026
Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep
This valuation is based on assumptions and publicly available data. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.