ASML

$1,350.16

Public overview and default valuation.

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Valuation Details
Default assumptions: 10Y forecast, 9% market return, 2.5% terminal growth, 7.85% trendline growth.
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$756.76

With 20% Margin of Safety (MoS):

$605.41
-55.16% downside
Capital Efficiency
Average Quarterly ROIC
18.49%
Cost of Capital (estimated)10%
Value StatusCreating Value

The company is earning a higher return on invested capital than it costs to raise that capital — a sign of strong, efficient value creation.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.
Fundamental Score
61
NeutralWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
55.2% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
3.4% trailing FCF yield
34
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 18.5% vs WACC 10.0% (1.8x)
92
Net Debt / FCF
Net cash position
100
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
23.6% 5Y FCF CAGR
100
Strengths: ROIC vs WACC, Net Debt / FCF. Concerns: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.
Narrative Score
81
Strong
Weighted across 6 recent drivers · Last 30 daysVs 6-Month Baseline: High (92th pct)
Trend: Improving upConfidence: 100%Updated: 3h ago
Sources: 210 (News 200 · Analyst 10)
Drivers
139 news sentiment+6.1
42 regulatory scrutiny+2.9
4 downgrade headlines+0.7
12 upgrade headlines+0.7
3 analyst upgrades+0.2
Earnings miss-0.1
Other Metrics
P/E54.3
Profit Margin29.4%
Owner Earnings$14.53b
One Dollar Premise24.00%
Debt/Equity1.52
Current Ratio1.37
PEG22.416
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
20062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
$625$938$644$233$1,255$2,997$1,004$1,489$1,669$2,873$2,460$2,448$4,435$4,692$6,124$14,417$11,232$8,789$16,275$17,639
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates ASML Holding N.V.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

ASML Holding N.V.Technology

ASML Holding N.V. develops, produces, markets, sells, and services advanced semiconductor equipment systems for chipmakers. It offers advanced semiconductor equipment systems, including lithography, metrology, and inspection systems. The company also provides extreme ultraviolet lithography systems; and deep ultraviolet lithography systems comprising immersion and dry lithography solutions to manufacture various range of semiconductor nodes and technologies. In addition, it offers metrology and inspection systems, including YieldStar optical metrology systems to assess the quality of patterns on the wafers; and HMI electron beam solutions to locate and analyze individual chip defects. Further, the company provides computational lithography solutions, and lithography systems and control software solutions; and refurbishes and upgrades lithography systems, as well as offers customer support and related services. It operates in Japan, South Korea, Singapore, Taiwan, China, rest of Asia, the Netherlands, rest of Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the United States. The company was formerly known as ASM Lithography Holding N.V. and changed its name to ASML Holding N.V. in 2001. ASML Holding N.V. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, the Netherlands.

Last updated: Feb 06, 2026
Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep
This valuation is based on assumptions and publicly available data. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.