ASML Holding N.V.Opportunity Rank #157(ASML) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)
Current Price
$1,516.60
Last updated: May 08, 2026
Price vs Intrinsic Value
Fundamental Score
Weighted across 6 signals
Narrative Score
No change vs previous
Trend Score
As of 2026-05-08
The intrinsic value of ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) is estimated at $699.61 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $1,516.60, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 7.16% long-term growth rate and a 10.12% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.
The intrinsic value of ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) is estimated at $699.61 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $1,516.60, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 7.16% long-term growth rate and a 10.12% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.Valuation Details
Capital Efficiency
The company is earning a higher return on invested capital than it costs to raise that capital — a sign of strong, efficient value creation.
Fundamental Details
Narrative Details
Trend Details
Investment Coach
- Price moves to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value
- ROIC remains consistently above the cost of capital in upcoming quarters
- Narrative score shows meaningful shifts in trend or confidence
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value
Intrinziq estimates ASML Holding N.V.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.
ASML Holding N.V.Technology
ASML Holding N.V. develops, produces, markets, sells, and services advanced semiconductor equipment systems for chipmakers. It offers advanced semiconductor equipment systems, including lithography, metrology, and inspection systems. The company also provides extreme ultraviolet lithography systems; and deep ultraviolet lithography systems comprising immersion and dry lithography solutions to manufacture various range of semiconductor nodes and technologies. In addition, it offers metrology and inspection systems, including YieldStar optical metrology systems to assess the quality of patterns on the wafers; and HMI electron beam solutions to locate and analyze individual chip defects. Further, the company provides computational lithography solutions, and lithography systems and control software solutions; and refurbishes and upgrades lithography systems, as well as offers customer support and related services. It operates in Japan, South Korea, Singapore, Taiwan, China, rest of Asia, the Netherlands, rest of Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the United States. The company was formerly known as ASM Lithography Holding N.V. and changed its name to ASML Holding N.V. in 2001. ASML Holding N.V. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, the Netherlands.