APP

$375.23

Public overview and default valuation.

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Valuation Details
Default assumptions: 10Y forecast, 9% market return, 2.5% terminal growth, 10.00% trendline growth.
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$105.40

With 20% Margin of Safety (MoS):

$84.32
-77.53% downside
Capital Efficiency
Average Quarterly ROIC
21.25%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusCreating Value

The company is earning a higher return on invested capital than it costs to raise that capital — a sign of strong, efficient value creation.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.
Fundamental Score
63
NeutralWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
77.5% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
2.6% trailing FCF yield
16
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 21.3% vs WACC 11.0% (1.9x)
97
Net Debt / FCF
0.5x net debt to FCF
89
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
75.5% 5Y FCF CAGR
100
Strengths: ROIC vs WACC, Net Debt / FCF. Concerns: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.
Narrative Score
70
Improving
Weighted across 6 recent drivers · Last 30 days-6 vs previous · +2 new driversVs 6-Month Baseline: High (91th pct)
Trend: StableConfidence: 100%Updated: 3h ago
Sources: 162 (News 156 · Analyst 6)
Drivers
9 legal risk+0.7
110 news sentiment+0.5
2 upgrade headlines+0.5
34 regulatory scrutiny+0.1
Analyst upgrades+0.1
Earnings beat+0.0
Other Metrics
P/E44.9
Profit Margin51.3%
Owner Earnings$3.13b
One Dollar Premise0.00%
Debt/Equity4.55
Current Ratio2.41
PEG2.731
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
2018201920202021202220232024
$140$202$226$363$413$1,066$3,363
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates AppLovin Corporation's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

AppLovin CorporationTechnology

AppLovin Corporation engages in building a software-based platform for mobile app developers to enhance the marketing and monetization of their apps in the United States and internationally. The company's software solutions include AppDiscovery, a marketing software solution, which matches advertiser demand with publisher supply through auctions; Adjust, an analytics platform that helps marketers grow their mobile apps with solutions for measuring, optimizing campaigns, and protecting user data; and MAX, an in-app bidding software that optimizes the value of an app's advertising inventory by running a real-time competitive auction. Its business clients include various advertisers, publishers, internet platforms, and others. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Palo Alto, California.

Last updated: Feb 06, 2026
Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep
This valuation is based on assumptions and publicly available data. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.