Market Pulse50Neutral

Apollo Global Management, Inc.Opportunity Rank #59(APO) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Current Price

$110.45

Last updated: Mar 24, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$110.45
Price
$567.36
Intrinsic Value
Undervalued by 414%MOS: $453.89

Fundamental Score

86/100
Bullish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

61/100
Improving

+1 vs previous

The intrinsic value of Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO) is estimated at $567.36 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $110.45, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes an 8.23% long-term growth rate and a 9.53% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO) is estimated at $567.36 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $110.45, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes an 8.23% long-term growth rate and a 9.53% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$567.36
413.68% upside
20% margin of safety: $453.89
Years: 10Growth Rate: 8.23%
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Fundamental Details

86/100
BullishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
413.7% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
8.4% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC vs WACC unavailable
50
Net Debt / FCF
Net cash position
100
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
486.7% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
100
Strengths lead the score: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.

Narrative Details

61/100
Improving
+1 vs previous · +2 new driversVs 6-Month Baseline:Above Avg (73rd pct)Weighted across 5 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 100%Updated: 2h ago
Sources: 208 (200 News · 8 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
131 legal risk+0.8
15 regulatory scrutiny+0.3
52 news sentiment-0.1
2 downgrade headlines+0.0
8 analyst reiterations0.0

Investment Coach

Updated 12h ago
BUYConfidence: 65%
Thesis
Apollo Global Management, Inc. is significantly undervalued with an estimated fair value over 420% above its current price, supported by strong fundamentals including a healthy free cash flow yield of 8.4% and robust buybacks. The company's improving narrative and bullish fundamental score of 73 suggest positive momentum and potential for substantial returns.
Key Risk
The company's return on invested capital (ROIC) currently trails its weighted average cost of capital (WACC), indicating potential challenges in generating value above its cost of capital.
Signals To Watch
  • Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
  • Track ROIC vs WACC spread for sustained improvement.
  • Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 8.23%5 Year CAGR: 36.74%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
$5,396$7,452$3,253$6,322$3,992$1,129-$1,557$1,122$829$817$622$589-$367$1,033$277$765-$212$124$210$863-$1,818

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Apollo Global Management, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Apollo Global Management, Inc.Financial Services

Apollo Global Management, Inc. is a private equity firm specializing in investments in credit, private equity and real estate markets. The firm's private equity investments include traditional buyouts, recapitalization, distressed buyouts and debt investments in real estate, corporate partner buyouts, distressed asset, corporate carve-outs, middle market, growth capital, turnaround, bridge, corporate restructuring, special situation, acquisition, and industry consolidation transactions. The firm provides its services to endowment and sovereign wealth funds, as well as other institutional and individual investors. It manages client focused portfolios. The firm launches and manages hedge funds for its clients. It also manages real estate funds and private equity funds for its clients. The firm invests in the fixed income and alternative investment markets across the globe. Its fixed income investments include income-oriented senior loans, bonds, collateralized loan obligations, structured credit, opportunistic credit, non-performing loans, distressed debt, mezzanine debt, and value oriented fixed income securities. The firm seeks to invest in chemicals, commodities, consumer and retail, oil and gas, metals, mining, agriculture, commodities, distribution and transportation, financial and business services, manufacturing and industrial, media distribution, cable, entertainment and leisure, telecom, technology, natural resources, energy, packaging and materials, and satellite and wireless industries. It seeks to invest in companies based in across Africa, North America with a focus on United States, and Europe. The firm also makes investments outside North America, primarily in Western Europe and Asia. It employs a combination of contrarian, value, and distressed strategies to make its investments. The firm seeks to make investments in the range of $10 million and $1500 million. The firm seeks to invest in companies with Enterprise value between $750 million to $2500 million. The firm conducts an in-house research to create its investment portfolio. It seeks to acquire minority and majority positions in its portfolio companies. Apollo Global Management, Inc. was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in New York, New York with additional offices in North America, Asia and Europe.

Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO) Intrinsic Value & DCF (2026) | Intrinziq