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$204.02

Public overview and default valuation.

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Valuation Details
Default assumptions: 10Y forecast, 9% market return, 2.5% terminal growth, 4.19% trendline growth.
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$119.44

With 20% Margin of Safety (MoS):

$95.55
-53.17% downside
Capital Efficiency
Average Quarterly ROIC
2.24%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.
Fundamental Score
23
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
53.2% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
5.4% trailing FCF yield
85
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 2.2% vs WACC 11.0% (0.2x)
10
Net Debt / FCF
23.1x net debt to FCF
0
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
-11.0% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
0
Strengths: FCF Yield, Buybacks. Concerns: DCF Discount, ROIC vs WACC.
Narrative Score
70
Improving
Weighted across 6 recent drivers · Last 30 days+5 vs previous · +1 new driversVs 6-Month Baseline: High (100th pct)
Trend: Improving upConfidence: 92%Updated: 3h ago
Sources: 33 (News 28 · Analyst 5)
Drivers
19 news sentiment+1.4
2 earnings beat+0.3
5 regulatory scrutiny+0.2
Upgrade headlines+0.1
Analyst upgrades+0.0
Margin pressure+0.0
Other Metrics
P/E11.7
Profit Margin2.4%
Owner Earnings$1.20b
One Dollar Premise0.00%
Debt/Equity4.50
Current Ratio0.78
PEG1.908
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
20052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024
$721$478$367$795$445$414$539$494$687$695$765$766$854$912$1,039$1,364$1,843$1,997$1,134$401
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates AutoNation, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

AutoNation, Inc.Consumer Cyclical

AutoNation, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as an automotive retailer in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Domestic, Import, and Premium Luxury. It offers a range of automotive products and services, including new and used vehicles; and parts and services, such as automotive repair and maintenance, and wholesale parts and collision services. The company also provides automotive finance and insurance products comprising vehicle services and other protection products, as well as arranges finance for vehicle purchases through third-party finance sources. As of December 31, 2021, it owned and operated 339 new vehicle franchises from 247 stores located primarily in metropolitan markets in the Sunbelt region. The company also owned and operated 57 AutoNation-branded collision centers, 9 AutoNation USA used vehicle stores, 4 AutoNation-branded automotive auction operations, and 3 parts distribution centers. AutoNation, Inc. was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Fort Lauderdale, Florida.

Last updated: Feb 06, 2026
Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep
This valuation is based on assumptions and publicly available data. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.