Market Pulse59Neutral

AbbVie Inc.Opportunity Rank #154(ABBV) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Healthcare

Current Price

$200.47

Last updated: May 08, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$200.47
Price
$240.63
Intrinsic Value
Undervalued by 20%MOS: $192.50

Fundamental Score

45/100
Bearish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

80/100
Strong

No change vs previous

Trend Score

28/100
Weak

As of 2026-05-08

The intrinsic value of AbbVie Inc. (ABBV) is estimated at $240.63 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $200.47, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 6.13% long-term growth rate and an 8.00% discount rate (calculated: 7.08%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of AbbVie Inc. (ABBV) is estimated at $240.63 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $200.47, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 6.13% long-term growth rate and an 8.00% discount rate (calculated: 7.08%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$240.63
20.03% upside
20% margin of safety: $192.50
Years: 10Growth Rate: 6.13%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
2.54%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

45/100
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
20.0% discount to price
83
FCF Yield
6.0% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 2.5% vs WACC 11.0% (0.2x)
12
Net Debt / FCF
3.0x net debt to FCF
1
Buybacks
Share count flat
50
FCF CAGR (5Y)
3.0% 5Y FCF CAGR
25
Strengths: DCF Discount, FCF Yield. Concerns: ROIC vs WACC, Net Debt / FCF.

Narrative Details

80/100
Strong
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Average (60th pct)Weighted across 6 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 93%Updated: 15h ago
Sources: 187 (177 News · 10 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
112 news sentiment+3.1
57 regulatory scrutiny+2.0
4 earnings beat+0.8
Upgrade headlines+0.0
3 legal risk-0.0
10 analyst reiterations0.0

Trend Details

28/100
WeakAs of 2026-05-08311 daily bars used
3M Relative Strength vs SPY-16.6%
6M Relative Strength vs SPY-15.9%
Price vs 50 EMA-4.2%
Price vs 21 EMA38 · -1.9%
Price vs 50 EMA30 · -4.2%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA32 · -2.3%
3M RS vs SPY6 · -16.6%
6M RS vs SPY15 · -15.9%
Distance from 52W High65 · -17.5%

Investment Coach

Updating... 1d ago
WATCHConfidence: 45%
Thesis
AbbVie Inc. shows a moderate valuation upside of approximately 11%, supported by a stable but weak narrative score. However, fundamentals remain bearish with returns trailing the estimated cost of capital, indicating cautious monitoring is warranted.
Key Risk
The key risk is the company's return on invested capital significantly underperforming its weighted average cost of capital, which may pressure valuation and growth prospects.
Signals To Watch
  • Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
  • Track ROIC vs WACC spread for sustained improvement.
  • Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 6.13%5 Year CAGR (Adjusted): -1.02%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009
$21,318$20,244$19,780$23,616$25,638$23,564$18,386$13,876$14,065$10,489$7,520$8,067$4,161$6,758$6,678$6,602$5,424$5,680

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates AbbVie Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

AbbVie Inc.Healthcare

AbbVie Inc. discovers, develops, manufactures, and sells pharmaceuticals in the worldwide. The company offers HUMIRA, a therapy administered as an injection for autoimmune and intestinal Behçet's diseases; SKYRIZI to treat moderate to severe plaque psoriasis in adults; RINVOQ, a JAK inhibitor for the treatment of moderate to severe active rheumatoid arthritis in adult patients; IMBRUVICA to treat adult patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL), small lymphocytic lymphoma (SLL), and VENCLEXTA, a BCL-2 inhibitor used to treat adults with CLL or SLL; and MAVYRET to treat patients with chronic HCV genotype 1-6 infection. It also provides CREON, a pancreatic enzyme therapy for exocrine pancreatic insufficiency; Synthroid used in the treatment of hypothyroidism; Linzess/Constella to treat irritable bowel syndrome with constipation and chronic idiopathic constipation; Lupron for the palliative treatment of advanced prostate cancer, endometriosis and central precocious puberty, and patients with anemia caused by uterine fibroids; and Botox therapeutic. In addition, the company offers ORILISSA, a nonpeptide small molecule gonadotropin-releasing hormone antagonist for women with moderate to severe endometriosis pain; Duopa and Duodopa, a levodopa-carbidopa intestinal gel to treat Parkinson's disease; Lumigan/Ganfort, a bimatoprost ophthalmic solution for the reduction of elevated intraocular pressure (IOP) in patients with open angle glaucoma (OAG) or ocular hypertension; Ubrelvy to treat migraine with or without aura in adults; Alphagan/ Combigan, an alpha-adrenergic receptor agonist for the reduction of IOP in patients with OAG; and Restasis, a calcineurin inhibitor immunosuppressant to increase tear production, as well as other eye care products. AbbVie Inc. has a research collaboration with Dragonfly Therapeutics, Inc. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in North Chicago, Illinois.